I have said elsewhere in my Blog that if a Revolution devolves into fighting and civil war, then that equates to a substantual failure of the Revolution.
The Revolution can still ultimately prevail, but ideally it should have been able to complete the transition of authority by; coup d’état/fait accompli.
The current experience in Libya is an interesting object lesson though. It behooves us all to take note and learn from what has happened there.
1.) The incumbent regime will not go willingly.
No matter how bankrupt, illegitimate or incompetent it is, it will fight to maintain the status quo and its own privileges. It may even believe its own rhetoric and propaganda. Listening to Muammar Ghaddafi over the last week has been a nauseating spectacle of self-aggrandizement and fantasy. As he urged “the people” to go out and fight and die for his benefit, all you could do is wonder whether there was anyone, anywhere who took him the least bit seriously – including himself. Was he truly so deluded as to believe what he said? …but how else do you explain the nonsense that came out of his mouth?
In the West (notably the United States), the Incumbent Regime is the money/political axis (Wall Street and Washington). It is now no better than a criminal conspiracy (here, here and here). And a bankrupt one at that. But it will NOT just go quietly into the night. It will fight for its survival, tooth and claw.
2.) The nauseating self-serving propaganda will roll out unceasingly.
Particularly when the News-Media is owned and operated by the crooks. So expect “the Big-Lie”, the ignoring and marginalizing of the inconvenient (the truth), and the attempt at misdirection (blame something/anything else).
3.) Ultimately the people will prevail however – if they want it badly enough.
Will you crawl over the dead bodies of your comrades to get at your oppressor?
4.) Some-one has to stand up and start the process, clarion the war cry.
And it is a war. There will ultimately be a winner and a loser. One side HAS to prevail, and the other MUST be defeated – utterly. Some-one has to stand up and call it like it is. It would be nice if when the reckoning comes, that it is possible to do it without fighting in the streets – but it IS a fight to the death for incompatible ideologies(if not people).
So call it like it is, keep at it, and hope that enough people hear the call and rally to the Standard, prepared to fight. (otherwise – nothing changes)
5.) The crooks (and sycophants) in charge aren’t as strong as they think they are.
Sure, a lot of people will wave the flag for the Regime while the wind still blows that way, but that support will melt away like fog when push comes to shove.
And then what is left is the hard core thugs and bullies that always gravitate to corruption. Those types have no qualms about murder and mayhem. Yes, they will have to be hunted down and dealt with like rabid dogs. But a couple of hundred of those (even a couple of thousand) can’t hold back millions who have finally had enough and are determined to prevail.
When the Revolutionary forces surge out onto the streets en-mass, then the game is up.
6.) If the Revolution begins without a unified command, ideology, or plan – it will cost you.
You start at a disadvantage against an opponent which does already have all those things. And it will then be necessary to develop them, whilst in the middle of a fight for survival.
The better the plan, ideology and unity from the beginning, the smaller the price that will ultimately have to be paid. Libya has paid in blood that Butchers Bill.
7.) Finally, always remember – these people ARE crooks and villains.
Whatever they may plead, it is bollocks and yet another part of their “Big Lie”.
If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck – it’s a DUCK.
Or if you prefer you allegories with a biblical bent… “by their actions they shall be known”.
GhadDaffy showed his true colours at the end, plain to see – calling for others to spill their blood to protect his interests.
Actually Daffy – Libya and the Libyans will survive just fine without you thanks. Time (and past time) for you to piss-off.
And the same goes for the crooks running our financial and political systems.
Time we got off our arses and ejected them too.