The thing about real life is that it seldom actually works out the way we would like it to. We have to conform to it rather than the other way around.
Even if I might be keen on a revolution, the rest of the world is happy going along doing its own thing, which mostly involves not having a revolution.
And from the point of view of everyone else, that fair enough and perfectly rational too. What point is there in a revolution for anybody else? The way they see it that wouldn’t particularly advance their interests, that would just advance mine.
For anybody else, for one perceived reason or another, their interests lie in maintaining the status quo. I wont bother expounding on the psychology of the common herd cleaving to their chains because it is the only thing they know. But for those with some sort of wealth and power to protect, their interests are obvious.
Why would they want to change anything. Their position and privileges have come from circumstances being the way they are. They don’t want to launch into radical reforms that would or could threaten that. They want things to stay the same – or more specifically; they want them to go back to the way they were. They are just as aware as everyone else that we are in a financial crunch, they have more to lose after all. But for them the solution is to try and engineer a “recovery” by any means possible. So it is “back to the future” as fast as they can go.
The whining and grizzling is always about when the “Recovery” comes, and when it gets back to “Normal”. Never realising that what has just gone away was never “Normal”, it was only ever just a bubble blown economy that was unsustainable. That which is unsustainable will inevitably fail. And even more to the point, it was the very actions of the rich and powerful that helped created the unsustainable situation in the first place. So their plan for recovery (of their position) is to work harder to prop up the unsustainable. Or – in real life – to use your money and work to prop up their position. Utilise the government resources to borrow and spend. Stimulus spending they call it.
Giving it fancy names doesn’t change reality. It is exactly the same thing as using your credit card to pay for the rent and the groceries. Using debt to finance your lifestyle or to pay off other debts is not a solution and cannot work: whatever any fancy economist would like to tell you – and remember who is paying them by the way.
People will change what they are doing when they don’t have any other choices anymore. They will move forward into a new paradigm only when they can no longer find any way to return back to the old one.
When does that happen, when will things get to a point where reforms can happen?
Not for a long time I am afraid. Things will have to get really, really bleak before the only route out is to give up on all that went before and strike a new pathway.
As an interesting addendum to the Paul Homes post: there were a number of the usual shills popping out of the woodwork to talk it up and say that things really weren’t as bad as all that, and that it would all turn around soon. They were all “chambers of commerce” this, and “professional association” of that – Tossers.
So, what are we left with?
Well, pretty much nothing. Nothing will change at this point. We will keep trying to scrabble backwards a fast as we can, trying to maintain our position and avoid sliding into the poo. Or we will keep spinning on the spot, not knowing which way is forward. Much the same thing really.
And surprise, surprise, it will keep on like this for long, long time and more and more people will get ground into the dirt under the spinning tracks of our bogged economy. It is going to hurt a lot of people for a long time. I might be surprised by events, but I expect we will still be in much the same position five years from now, except that we will have managed to have dug ourselves in deeper.
There are local body elections coming up shortly here in Auckland. I wont be voting. There seriously is no point. The only people who will win are the politicians. And guess what, they are the problem. We treat our democratic system as some sort of sacred cow. It is not. It is pretty much the source of our problems. Whatever the high ideals of it might have been when it was instituted, it is now a thoroughly corrupt and gamed system.
To join it in the hopes that you could reform it is to be deeply deluded. The system is the problem. When Paul Holmes said there is nothing the politicians can do, he was spot on. Although not for the reasons he was thinking of I suspect.
The political economy is a vast system of interrelated dependencies and its continued survival is its first priority. To work within it, is to work to sustain it. I am not going to do that. I want to break it.
Breaking it would unquestionably hurt a serious lot of people. The only question is; would maintaining it hurt even more people?
That is going to have to be up to every individual to answer for themselves as to how they would be affected. And to where their hopes for the future lie.
And that comes down to belief.
That’s where is all gets rather interesting. Everyone will know very well that times are bad. The question becomes then, what will they believe is the solution to their problems.
There you fall into the domain and realm of propaganda and proselytizing. People lying and spinning their version of Truth. Look out for the Crusades when prophets find fertile soil to till. (even me)